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Forex · in simple words

Forex News

The big forex stories in simple English: central bank decisions (Fed, RBI, ECB), inflation (CPI) and jobs data (NFP), and moves in currencies like the Dollar, Rupee and Euro. Every story has two parts: what happened, and what it means. For learning only, no predictions or signals.

Today

Forex3:04 am

China factory PMI falls to 49.3 in October 2026

On Saturday 31 Oct 2026 at 7 AM (IST), China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the official October PMI figures: the manufacturing PMI came in at 49.3, down from 50.1 in September (a drop of 0.8 points). According to Trading Economics, the market expected 50.0, and this is the lowest reading since July. According to the NBS, the new orders index fell to 49.4 (down 1.1 points) and the production index to 49.8 (down 1.9 points). The PMI for large companies was 50.2, while medium and small companies were at 48.4 and 47.5. The non-manufacturing PMI (services + construction) fell from 50.2 to 49.7 (Trading Economics says the forecast was 50.5); construction was at 48.0 and services at 50.0. The composite PMI was 49.7, down 1.0 point. According to Trading Economics, domestic demand was sluggish as the effect of the Golden Week holidays faded, and overseas demand also weakened.

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Yesterday

Forex30 Oct, 10:35 pm

Week Ahead 2–6 Nov 2026: RBA, BoE, US NFP and US midterm elections

Next week's high-impact events, in IST (as per TradingView economic calendar, RBA and Bank of England official schedules; timings may change): • Monday 2 Nov, 8:30 PM: US ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast 54.7, previous 54.5) • Tuesday 3 Nov, 9:00 AM: RBA (Australia) rate decision; current cash rate 4.60%, calendar experts forecast 4.85% • Tuesday 3 Nov: US midterm elections; results will start coming in IST from Wednesday 4 Nov • Tuesday 3 Nov, 8:30 PM: US JOLTS job openings (forecast around 7.1 million) • Wednesday 4 Nov, 3:30 PM: Eurozone flash inflation (forecast 3.9%, previous 3.8%) • Wednesday 4 Nov, 8:30 PM: US ISM Services PMI (forecast 54.8, previous 54.9) • Thursday 5 Nov, 5:30 PM: BoE (UK) rate decision and Monetary Policy Report; current Bank Rate 3.75%, calendar experts forecast 4.00% • Friday 6 Nov, 7:00 PM: US NFP (forecast 65 thousand new jobs, previous 29 thousand) and unemployment rate (forecast 4.2%) • Friday 6 Nov, 8:30 PM: University of Michigan consumer sentiment Note: Daylight saving time ends in the US on 1 Nov 2026, so US data will now release one hour later in IST, for example NFP at 7:00 PM instead of 6:00 PM.

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Forex30 Oct, 10:35 pm

Dollar's week: DXY flat near 102, Friday tech selloff (Weekly wrap 31 Oct 2026)

This week the US dollar index (DXY) did not move much. According to Trading Economics, on Friday 30 Oct DXY slipped to around 101.5 during the day and closed near 101.96 (down -0.08% for the day). As per Yahoo Finance data, last Friday it was around 101.81, meaning it was roughly flat for the week. Key events of the week: • Fed kept rates unchanged; ECB and BoJ also held rates steady • US September PCE inflation came in at 3.6% year-on-year (core 3.1%) and Q3 GDP growth was 3.4% (annualized) • According to CME FedWatch, the market is pricing in roughly 75% probability of a Fed rate hike in December (Trading Economics) • Friday saw US shares fall: S&P 500 down about 1.8% and Nasdaq down roughly 3.5%, after weak results from major tech companies; for the full week S&P 500 was down about 0.9% • Crude oil (WTI) closed around $103 per barrel, amid news of tensions in the Middle East Friday close (Trading Economics): EUR/USD around 1.1158, GBP/USD around 1.3392, USD/JPY around 157.56, USD/INR around 95.03.

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Forex30 Oct, 12:03 pm

Germany Inflation Falls to 2.8%, Below Estimates (October 2026)

On 30 Oct 2026, Germany's statistics office Destatis released provisional figures for October: consumer price index (CPI) inflation came in at 2.8%, down from 3.3% in September. According to Trading Economics, the market estimate was 3.0%. Prices fell 0.2% month-on-month. The EU-method harmonised index (HICP) also stood at 2.8%. Core inflation (excluding food and energy) dropped from 2.4% to 2.1%. Energy inflation fell from 14.9% to 12.2%, services from 2.7% to 2.5%, and goods from 3.8% to 3.0%; food remained at 0.4%. According to Trading Economics, a temporary fuel tax cut effective from early October (until year-end) contributed to lower fuel prices. Final figures will be released on 11 Nov 2026. As per Yahoo Finance data, around 9:30 PM (IST) EUR/USD was near 1.117.

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Forex30 Oct, 7:36 am

Eurozone GDP grows 0.4%, Italy inflation jumps to 5.4%

On 30 Oct 2026, Eurostat's preliminary flash estimate showed euro area GDP grew 0.4% in the July–September quarter (Q3) compared with the previous quarter. The market forecast (TradingView calendar consensus) was 0.2%, and growth in Q2 was 0.6%. Year on year, growth was 1.3%. Ireland (+5.5%) led, Spain grew 0.6%, Germany 0.2%, Italy 0.0%, and France's GDP shrank 0.1%. Early inflation figures released the same day also came in higher: according to ISTAT, Italy's October inflation was 5.4% (4.2% in September, forecast 4.6%), the highest since September 2023, driven largely by energy prices. According to INSEE, France's inflation was 3.4% (forecast 3.2%). According to Trading Economics, EUR/USD was near 1.12, up about 0.2%.

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Forex30 Oct, 3:03 am

BoJ holds rate at 1.25% in 8-1 vote (30 Oct 2026)

On 30 Oct 2026 the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 1.25% (the decision came at around 8:32 AM IST). The vote was 8-1: one member, Takata Hajime, wanted to raise the rate to 1.5%. The BoJ also sped up its ETF sales: from about 330 billion yen a year to about 860 billion yen a year (book value), starting January 2027. The Outlook Report released with the decision raised the median forecast for fiscal 2027 core CPI (excluding fresh food) to 2.6%, from 2.4% in July. The BoJ wrote that it will continue to raise the policy rate, with the timing and pace decided by the data. According to Reuters, the yen strengthened after the decision, reaching a high of 157.115 per dollar.

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29 Oct 2026

Forex29 Oct, 10:34 pm

BoJ decision today, along with Europe GDP and US ECI data

Today, 30 Oct 2026, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) two-day meeting decision is due. Currently, BoJ's policy rate is 1.25% (raised in September, highest since 1995). Reports from Nikkei and Kyodo suggest the rate may be kept at 1.25%, but there could be hints of a hike in December (these are reports, the decision is yet to come). USD/JPY was around 157.5 in the morning. Other important data today (IST, as per calendar, times may vary): • 11:00 AM: BoJ press conference (Governor Ueda) • 12:59 PM: Germany preliminary CPI • 2:30 PM: Germany preliminary GDP • 3:30 PM: Eurozone flash GDP and unemployment • 6:00 PM: US Employment Cost Index (ECI) and Canada GDP • 9:30 PM and 10:00 PM: Fed members Daly and Musalem speeches

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Forex29 Oct, 10:34 pm

US GDP grew 3.4%, PCE inflation reached 3.6%

On 29 Oct 2026, data from the US Commerce Department was released. In the third quarter (Q3), US GDP grew at 3.4% (annualized), compared to the estimate of 3.1% and 2.2% in Q2. Alongside, September's PCE inflation (the Fed's preferred measure) rose 0.5% for the month, the largest increase since March. Annual headline PCE stood at 3.6% and core PCE (excluding food and energy) at 3.1%. Consumer spending increased 0.5% and weekly jobless claims fell to 194,000.

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Forex29 Oct, 10:34 pm

ECB kept rates unchanged, Lagarde said: hike was discussed

On 29 Oct 2026, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept all three key rates unchanged: deposit facility at 2.50%, main refinancing at 2.65% and marginal lending at 2.90%. The statement noted that rising energy prices are creating both inflation risk and growth risk. In the press conference, President Christine Lagarde mentioned that a rate hike was also discussed today. According to reports, the market is pricing in more than 80% probability of a hike in December. Lagarde also said she wants to leave the ECB before her term ends. EUR/USD first fell to its weakest level since May 2025, then recovered and was trading around 1.1196 on 30 Oct.

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Forex29 Oct, 10:34 pm

Rupee at two-week low, near 95.3 against the dollar

On 30 Oct 2026, the Indian rupee weakened to around 95.3 per dollar, its weakest level in two weeks. According to reports, the impact of foreign inflows related to the Jio Platforms IPO is fading, and foreign portfolio outflows continue. Brent crude is around $114 per barrel, keeping India's import bill high. RBI is slowing the rupee's decline by selling dollars and providing a separate dollar window for government oil companies. USD/INR's all-time high was around 99.82 in March 2026.

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28 Oct 2026